JOHNNY DOETHE LIFE WHISPERER

SpaceX IPO - full analysis

JohnnyDoe

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JohnnyDoeSchrödinger‘s guyAuthor
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Jan 2020
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10,049

#1

Nothing else to add:
IMG_3847.webp

voidQuiet Authority
Joined
Oct 2017
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2,857

#2

f..k spacex, buy bitcoin instead, own your piece of something bigger and more impactful than internet
:D

JohnnyDoeSchrödinger‘s guyAuthor
Joined
Jan 2020
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10,049

#3

void said:

f..k spacex, buy bitcoin instead, own your piece of something bigger and more impactful than internet
:D

SpaceX holds 18,712 btc.
It has a better business model than Strategy, and has also had a bigger impact than btc to the majority of the people.
I couldn’t live without Starlink, but I probably could live with just xmr.

voidQuiet Authority
Joined
Oct 2017
Messages
2,857

#4

JohnnyDoe said:

SpaceX holds 18,712 btc.
It has a better business model than Strategy, and has also had a bigger impact than btc to the majority of the people.
I couldn’t live without Starlink, but I probably could live with just xmr.

starlink is a fair point as well as a current impact (when it comes to number of users), but that's going to change
whether to spend 1M USD today on SPCX (at this valution) or BTC is an easy pick, that's all I'm saying, it has nothing to do with whether spacex will do well

JohnnyDoeSchrödinger‘s guyAuthor
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Jan 2020
Messages
10,049

#5

void said:

starlink is a fair point as well as a current impact (when it comes to number of users), but that's going to change
whether to spend 1M USD today on SPCX (at this valution) or BTC is an easy pick, that's all I'm saying, it has nothing to do with whether spacex will do well

You don’t buy btc to make a profit.

ParatoreActive Recruit
Joined
Nov 2025
Messages
221

#6

I never buy on IPOs due to hype and lock in periods. I got burned on that when I was younger. That said, I’m not sure what the proper valuation for SpaceX is. There is a certain captive market for heavy lift launches that was heretofore met by Russians and government agencies, that is very much available for SpaceX to secure. There is also Starlink which certainly has market share though I’m not sure of the real profitability. There is some voodoo math in their accounting with respect to actual cost. For future growth, there is severe industrial bottlenecks in rocket and missile motor production for military applications which are mostly held by dysfunctional and inefficient legacy defense contractors. Anduril and SpaceX could be very disruptive in this space.

I will watch for a bit. There will likely be some kind of dip in the first year if you want to buy in post-IPO (I will not buy and be wrong about this).

JohnnyDoeSchrödinger‘s guyAuthor
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Jan 2020
Messages
10,049

#7

Just for fun:
IMG_3857.jpeg

ParatoreActive Recruit
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Nov 2025
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221

#8

The lockup is a weird tiered structure but expires for most early investors in 180 days. I’ll watch and might put some in later this year. The earnings reports are going to be interesting.

jafoHigh-Ranking Operative
Joined
May 2022
Messages
4,061

#9

Paratore said:

I never buy on IPOs due to hype and lock in periods. I got burned on that when I was younger.

Welcome to the club! 🤣

jafoHigh-Ranking Operative
Joined
May 2022
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4,061

#10

A forum member and I were just discussing this on an alternate communication channels. What a coincidence! 😍

JohnnyDoeSchrödinger‘s guyAuthor
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Jan 2020
Messages
10,049

#11

Sold. Don’t try this at home. For entertainment purposes only.

IMG_4071.jpeg

JustitActive Recruit
Joined
Jun 2025
Messages
162

#12

Okay, next time you’re going to a casino, I’m coming with you 😅 I’ll do exactly what you do because, as we can all see, it seems to be working 😅

JohnnyDoeSchrödinger‘s guyAuthor
Joined
Jan 2020
Messages
10,049

#13

Justit said:

Okay, next time you’re going to a casino, I’m coming with you 😅 I’ll do exactly what you do because, as we can all see, it seems to be working 😅

Sorry for Elon, he’s no longer a trillionaire. Next time I will not sell everything at once 😏

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